By the way we have already seen big mevements in the treasury market, UST yield up almost 1 figure, and future of 10YT are getting 3%, that’s way we can see it as leading indicator for the market in spite of waiting again bad data about global and emarican economy – go away from strong risk aversion which we have seen yet.  That’s way Scenario 1 is my favour.

scenario 1.  SP +10-25% target 1000-1100; EURUSD target 1.33-1.38; Oil target 45; CRB up 4-5 figure.

scenario 2 SP -20-25%, UST futures +6-7 figure -> yield 2.00-1.60%; EURUSD 1.26-1.10

While many people were watching the inauguration of President Barack Obama, equity traders were focused on the sharpest drop in State Street Corp’s shares since 1984 as the world’s largest money manager for institutions reported a doubling in unrealized bond losses. With the exception of a few weeks in December, the US dollar and Japanese yen have both been driven primarily by risk appetite since mid-2008, as flight-to-safety and deleveraging work to strengthen the currencies. As a result, we must credit the gains in the greenback and the yen on Tuesday to lingering risk aversion, which was only exacerbated by State Street’s losses, as we also saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average end the day down a whopping 4.01 percent while the CBOE’s VIX volatility index surged higher. computer powerhouse Apple.

can it be true?

To see Obama Plan in youtube click here

Global Forecast

To see it slick here